Network Convergence

The price of 10GbE plummets over the last year, perhaps prompting uptake of iSCSI and FCoE.

Falling Ethernet costs, improved reliability and high availability, and the rise of new protocols like FCoE will change the current data center — and will change everything, I believe, from home computers to large businesses to HPC. Technology may drive the market, but unless the technology gains enough market acceptance and becomes a commodity, it will never be anything but a niche. We have seen this time and time again in networking, from FDDI back in the late 1980s to HiPPI in the early 1990s, and now to Fibre Channel. Rightly or wrongly, the market is driven by commodity technologies. If it is not going to fit within the home environment, PC, TV, gaming, music and so on, then it will not stick around forever.